July.Aug.17

Cover Story

Slow Fuse

Investors and lenders are proceeding cautiously amid forecasts for slower growth ahead.

Many sports analogies are being thrown out to describe how close the U.S. commercial real estate market is to its cyclical peak. Regardless of whether fans are keeping score based on quarters, innings, or overtime, time is still left on the clock.

It is no wonder that the maturity of the market cycle is garnering plenty of attention. The U.S. commercial real estate market is now eight years into its current economic expansion, which is lengthy by historical standards.

“I don't see a lot of risks to the cycle in 2017,” says Ryan Severino, chief economist at JLL in the New York City metro area. “I don't even see all that much in 2018. I think we have at least a couple of years before we start to have that question about is the clock ticking or not."

July.Aug.17

Slow Fuse

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