2006: Three Possible Scenarios 

Decelerating Growth (15% probability) Baseline (75% probability) Accelerarting Growth (10% probability) Description

Changing Conditions 

The U.S. economy, while remaining relatively strong, is facing greater challenges than it has seen in more than two decades. Volatile energy prices, a slowing housing market, consumer spending shifts, geopolitical risks, natural disaster recovery costs, inflation, and increasing interest